Jamie Pentagulio

The BLS released February 2021 PPI today. The all commodities index rose 2.1% in the last month and increased 6.0% in the last twelve months. Farm products saw a 2.6% increase from January and increased 13.3% from February 2020. Processed foods and feeds saw a 1.7% increase in the last month and rose 3.9% in the last twelve months. Meats, poultry and fish rose 5.5% since January 2021 and increased 9.1% from February 2020. Processed poultry increased 6.7% in the last month and rose 8.7% in the last twelve months. Prepared animal feeds increased by 2.8% from January and rose 14.1% since February 2020. Fuels and related products and power rose 5.6% in the last month and increased 10.8% in the last twelve months. Chemicals and allied products saw a 2.0% increase from January and rose by 5.4% since February 2020. Basic organic chemicals increased by 4.6% in the last month and increased 9.0% in the last twelve months. Plastic resins and materials increased 5.8% since January and rose by 15.7% from February 2020. Thermoplastic resins and plastic materials increased 6.5% from January and rose by 18.9% since February 2020. Lumber and wood products increased 2.9% in the last month and rose 25.4% in the last twelve months. Lumber increased 6.5% from January and rose 59.5% since February 2020. Plywood increased 7.2% in the last month and rose by 45.0% in the last twelve months. Pulp, paper and allied products increased 1.0% since January and increased 5.3% from February 2020. Metals and metal products rose 2.6% in the last month and increased 12.4% in the last twelve months. Iron and steel rose 4.1% from January and increased 22.0% from February 2020. Steel mill products increased 11.8% in the last month and increased by 19.4% in the last twelve months. Nonferrous mill shapes increased 1.2% from January and increased 11.4% since February 2020. Nonferrous wire and cable rose 2.4% in the last month and increased 14.1% in the last twelve months.

BLS PPI Annual Inflation Rate Averages Table for Selected Commodities Through February 2021

 PPI CodeBLS PPI Category Description1 Month Feb. '21YTD Feb. '211 Year Feb. '213 Year Feb. '215 Year Feb. '2110 Year Feb. '2120 Year Feb. '21
01FARM PRODUCTS2.6%6.3%13.3%3.8%2.2%0.8%2.8%
011Fruits & melons, fresh/dry vegs. & nuts-6.9%-6.5%-1.1%2.6%-1.5%1.3%2.6%
012Grains6.1%26.2%39.3%14.7%9.1%0.0%5.1%
013Slaughter livestock6.0%8.2%2.4%-2.8%-2.0%1.3%2.0%
014Slaughter poultry0.1%0.5%2.9%-1.6%0.0%1.1%2.9%
015Raw cotton7.4%16.0%29.5%3.8%7.0%-0.6%1.9%
016Raw milk2.7%-21.8%-11.4%2.3%2.2%-0.6%1.0%
017Chicken eggs38.4%45.2%30.8%-7.5%-3.9%0.1%2.4%
018Hay, hayseeds and oilseeds-0.1%15.9%46.2%11.0%8.5%1.6%5.1%
02PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS1.7%1.3%3.9%2.0%1.5%1.5%2.4%
021Cereal and bakery products0.5%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.0%1.3%2.4%
022Meats, poultry, and fish5.5%3.4%9.1%3.0%1.4%2.1%2.3%
023Dairy products0.1%-2.0%-3.4%1.4%1.0%1.1%1.9%
024Processed fruits and vegetables0.0%0.3%3.3%1.8%1.8%2.1%2.6%
025Sugar and confectionery0.0%-2.3%-3.5%0.1%0.0%0.7%2.4%
026Beverages and beverage materials-0.5%0.2%1.0%1.7%1.5%1.5%2.0%
027Fats and oils3.7%7.2%17.4%3.0%3.0%0.5%5.1%
028Miscellaneous processed foods0.1%0.3%1.7%1.2%0.9%1.5%1.9%
029Prepared animal feeds2.8%4.8%14.1%3.7%4.1%1.6%3.6%
03TEXTILE PRODUCTS AND APPAREL0.9%1.6%1.7%1.0%1.1%1.4%1.1%
031Synthetic fibers1.1%1.8%-0.5%0.2%1.5%1.7%0.7%
032Processed yarns and threads5.7%7.5%5.2%1.5%1.8%1.1%1.5%
033Greige fabrics-0.9%0.1%0.1%-0.2%-0.1%0.4%0.9%
034Finished fabrics1.0%1.5%3.7%2.4%1.6%1.9%1.6%
038Apparel & other fabricated textile prods-0.9%-0.2%-0.3%0.7%0.8%1.5%1.0%
039Miscellaneous textile products/services3.3%3.2%6.1%-1.6%-0.5%0.2%0.8%
04HIDES, SKINS, LEATHER, AND RELATED PRODUCTS0.2%0.8%4.3%-3.5%-2.8%-1.0%0.4%
041Hides and skins, incl. cattle0.1%-0.1%15.5%-10.6%-8.8%-5.6%-1.7%
042Leather0.1%4.0%2.3%-5.5%-4.4%-2.7%-0.3%
043Footwear0.3%0.4%0.3%1.3%1.0%2.6%1.8%
044Other leather and related products0.2%0.2%0.9%0.8%1.0%2.0%1.5%
05FUELS AND RELATED PRODUCTS AND POWER5.6%9.8%10.8%-1.1%5.3%-1.2%2.0%
051Coal-0.2%0.0%-3.0%-1.9%0.4%0.0%3.4%
053Gas fuels14.1%17.4%73.5%-6.5%5.2%-5.6%-2.7%
055Utility natural gas2.4%-6.6%11.2%-1.4%2.3%-0.2%-0.1%
056Crude petroleum (domestic production)8.6%21.6%15.2%-2.6%18.1%-4.4%3.3%
057Petroleum products, refined9.7%19.3%11.4%-0.7%10.9%-2.2%3.9%
058Asphalt and other petroleum and coal products, n.e.c.6.3%13.0%25.1%7.6%6.7%-2.7%7.1%
06CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS2.0%5.1%5.4%0.9%2.9%1.7%3.4%
061Industrial chemicals3.9%10.8%7.8%-1.7%3.3%-0.8%3.3%
062Paints and allied products0.4%0.6%2.0%3.1%3.0%2.3%3.3%
063Drugs and pharmaceuticals0.0%1.9%1.8%2.6%3.5%4.9%4.5%
064Fats and oils, inedible5.2%14.6%28.3%6.8%5.8%-1.8%6.9%
065Agricultural chemicals and chemical products0.5%2.3%8.2%0.7%0.5%0.2%2.3%
066Plastic resins and materials5.8%8.8%15.7%1.7%3.3%1.6%2.9%
067Other chemicals and allied products0.4%0.7%0.9%1.1%1.4%1.7%2.1%
07RUBBER AND PLASTIC PRODUCTS0.4%1.3%1.7%1.1%1.5%1.4%2.3%
071Rubber and rubber products-0.3%0.6%0.3%0.9%1.0%0.7%2.2%
072Plastic products0.5%1.5%2.1%1.2%1.6%1.6%2.3%
08LUMBER AND WOOD PRODUCTS2.9%8.9%25.4%7.2%6.3%4.5%2.8%
081Lumber6.5%18.3%59.5%13.2%12.0%7.4%3.6%
082Millwork0.3%3.5%11.0%5.0%4.3%3.6%2.6%
083Plywood7.2%11.9%45.0%7.9%8.0%5.2%3.4%
084Other wood products1.4%2.7%5.9%4.3%3.1%2.8%1.7%
085Logs, bolts, timber, pulpwood, woodchips and other roundwood products0.4%4.7%8.6%1.2%1.5%1.9%1.7%
086Prefabricated wood buildings & components1.1%2.9%9.3%4.6%4.1%3.3%2.8%
087Treated wood and contract wood preserving-2.0%7.5%19.7%7.2%5.1%4.4%2.8%
09PULP,PAPER, AND ALLIED PRODUCTS1.0%2.0%5.3%1.7%1.8%1.1%1.9%
091Pulp, paper, and prod., ex. bldg. paper1.2%2.6%4.7%0.9%1.6%0.9%1.9%
092Building paper & building board mill prods.2.0%2.5%66.5%15.9%11.8%7.4%5.0%
094Publications, printed matter & printing material0.4%0.5%1.5%2.3%1.5%1.0%
10METALS AND METAL PRODUCTS2.6%6.2%12.4%4.4%5.5%1.3%3.4%
101Iron and steel4.1%12.6%22.0%4.7%8.2%1.1%4.2%
102Nonferrous metals2.1%5.0%16.1%5.7%7.7%1.0%4.2%
103Metal containers1.0%2.7%1.9%3.1%2.8%0.5%2.4%
104Hardware0.7%1.2%2.5%2.3%2.0%1.8%2.1%
105Plumbing fixtures and fittings0.4%0.4%1.2%2.5%2.5%2.3%2.4%
106Heating equipment1.7%1.5%2.6%3.7%2.9%2.7%3.1%
107Fabricated structural metal products3.3%4.0%6.2%4.3%3.6%2.2%2.8%
108Miscellaneous metal products0.6%1.3%2.3%2.4%1.8%1.2%1.8%
11MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT0.2%0.6%0.8%1.7%1.3%1.1%0.8%
111Agricultural machinery and equipment0.5%0.8%1.4%2.6%1.9%1.8%2.4%
112Construction machinery and equipment0.1%1.1%1.3%3.2%1.9%2.2%2.4%
113Metalworking machinery and equipment0.5%0.9%1.4%1.6%1.5%1.6%1.5%
114General purpose machinery and equipment0.5%1.1%2.5%2.8%2.4%2.4%2.6%
115Electronic computers and computer equipment0.0%1.2%-0.8%-2.1%-2.3%-3.1%-5.6%
116Special industry machinery and equipment0.3%0.5%1.9%2.1%1.7%1.4%1.4%
117Electrical machinery and equipment0.1%0.2%-0.3%1.1%0.8%0.5%0.0%
118Miscellaneous instruments0.1%0.6%0.9%1.6%1.7%1.8%1.7%
119Miscellaneous machinery0.1%0.3%0.6%1.7%1.1%1.0%1.7%
12FURNITURE AND HOUSEHOLD DURABLES0.5%0.9%2.3%2.4%2.0%1.7%1.6%
121Household furniture0.3%0.3%1.6%2.1%1.9%1.8%1.9%
122Commercial furniture1.5%2.1%3.5%3.8%2.9%2.4%2.2%
123Floor coverings1.0%1.4%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.6%2.1%
124Household appliances0.0%0.9%2.8%2.4%1.9%1.4%0.9%
125Home electronic equipment0.0%0.0%0.2%0.8%0.6%0.0%-1.5%
126Other household durable goods-0.8%-0.4%1.6%1.4%1.2%1.3%1.3%
13NONMETALIC MINERAL PRODUCTS0.3%1.9%2.0%2.6%2.6%2.7%3.1%
131Glass-0.2%-0.4%2.3%2.0%1.9%2.3%1.2%
132Concrete ingredients and related products0.0%1.7%3.4%3.7%3.6%3.5%3.7%
133Concrete products0.4%0.8%1.7%2.9%3.0%3.0%3.2%
134Clay construction products ex. refractories0.2%0.3%1.6%1.5%1.2%0.8%1.1%
135Refractories0.0%0.4%-0.2%3.5%2.4%2.2%3.3%
136Asphalt felts and coatings-0.2%0.4%3.2%5.3%2.8%1.4%4.5%
137Gypsum products0.3%3.1%5.1%-1.3%3.1%5.1%4.1%
138Glass containers0.0%2.5%1.8%2.6%2.0%1.8%2.6%
139Other nonmetallic minerals0.8%4.6%0.7%1.7%1.4%2.1%3.1%
14TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT0.2%0.4%1.5%1.1%0.9%1.3%1.3%
141Motor vehicles and equipment0.2%0.5%1.8%0.9%0.8%1.2%0.8%
142Aircraft and aircraft equipment0.0%0.2%1.1%1.3%1.2%1.6%2.2%
143Ships and boats-0.1%0.0%1.0%1.7%1.5%1.4%2.4%
144Railroad equipment0.0%0.1%0.3%0.5%0.1%1.1%2.1%
149Transportation equipment, n.e.c.0.6%1.2%1.0%1.7%1.9%1.3%1.3%
15MISCELLANEOUS PRODUCTS0.4%1.1%3.4%3.3%2.9%2.5%2.4%
151Toys, sporting goods, small arms, etc.0.8%2.3%2.9%2.3%1.3%1.6%1.3%
152Tobacco products, incl. stemmed & redried0.6%1.2%6.8%6.5%5.9%5.3%4.3%
153Notions0.6%1.4%2.2%0.9%1.5%1.9%2.6%
154Photographic equipment and supplies0.4%1.1%0.9%2.7%1.9%2.5%1.3%
155Mobile homes2.1%3.7%12.9%7.3%6.2%4.7%4.2%
156Medical, surgical & personal aid devices0.2%0.8%1.9%1.2%1.2%1.0%1.2%
157Other industrial safety equipment-0.8%0.3%2.3%3.0%0.8%1.5%1.6%
159Other miscellaneous products0.3%0.7%1.7%3.5%2.7%1.9%1.9%

BLS PPI vs. CPI Supermarket Inflation Spread Comparison Through February 2021

Inflation Rate PeriodPPI InflationCPI InflationDIFF: PPI vs. CPI
2 Months Ended Febuary '210.51%0.00%0.51%
1 Month Ended January '210.13%0.17%-0.04%
12 Months Ended December '201.05%1.82%-0.77%
12 Months Ended December '191.29%0.85%0.44%
12 Months Ended December '182.85%0.41%2.44%
12 Months Ended December '172.85%0.47%2.39%
12 Months Ended December '161.32%0.10%1.22%
12 Months Ended December '150.19%0.11%0.08%
12 Months Ended December '145.07%2.46%2.61%
12 Months Ended December '132.04%0.14%1.90%
12 Months Ended December '122.72%1.00%1.71%
12 Months Ended December '115.20%4.07%1.13%
12 Months Ended December '102.92%0.90%2.03%
3 Year Average Ended Dec. '201.73%1.02%0.70%
5 Year Average Ended Dec. '201.87%0.73%1.14%
10 Year Average Ended Dec. '202.50%1.12%1.38%

Note: The above inflation rates reflects a supermarket with all departments on LIFO, including produce, meat, seafood, dairy, deli, alcoholic beverages & tobacco.

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